Oracle weighs mock signals such as visits, roster need, depth chart openings, source volume, prediction movement, conference fit, playing-time opportunity, and conflicting reports. The output is a projection candidate, not a commitment or verified report.
Signal
Player
Team
Strength
Confidence
Evidence
official visit
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
82
medium
4 refs · 3 sources
roster need
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
76
high
5 refs · 2 sources
unofficial visit
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
58
medium
2 refs · 2 sources
reported offer
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
61
medium
3 refs · 2 sources
team interest
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
69
medium
3 refs · 3 sources
depth chart opening
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
73
medium
4 refs · 2 sources
coaching connection
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
55
low
2 refs · 1 sources
hometown connection
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
49
medium
2 refs · 1 sources
nil activity
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
42
low
1 refs · 1 sources
playing time opportunity
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
71
medium
3 refs · 2 sources
prediction movement
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
67
medium
3 refs · 2 sources
conference fit
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
63
medium
2 refs · 2 sources
historical recruiting relationship
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
52
low
2 refs · 1 sources
source volume
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
64
medium
4 refs · 4 sources
conflicting report
Mock Player Alpha
Mock State
38
conflicting
2 refs · 2 sources
Prediction risk panel
What could weaken Oracle's view
Conflicting report risk
Mock conflicting signal exists, so Oracle recommends Core review before confidence can rise.
NIL uncertainty
NIL-adjacent activity is not confirmation of a value or outcome and must remain labeled cautiously.
Timeline volatility
Prediction movement is recent, so a new official statement or visit report could materially change the projection.
Confidence explanation
Projection rules
Oracle cannot invent probabilities, treat predictions as facts, or confirm NIL. Low-confidence, conflicting, or NIL-sensitive projection candidates must be lowered or routed to review by the Intelligence Core.
