What changed
2026-06-14 to 2026-06-28
- Confidence moved from medium to medium.
- Source count changed from 2 to 6.
- Prediction state changed from Mock State 44% to Mock State 58%.
Apollo
Historical replay for what Portal Pulse knew, when it knew it, and what changed.
Apollo preserves historical snapshots without rewriting them. Replay distinguishes known then, known now, predicted then, and what happened later.
Mock data only. Fictional names, placeholder sources, confidence labels, and timestamps are used to validate the product structure.
Replay dashboard
Mock projection confidence rose but stayed capped
Apollo shows that Portal Pulse gained more mock sources over time, but conflicting evidence prevented the projection from becoming high confidence.
Date selector
2026-06-142026-06-28
Mock baseline formed
2026-06-14
Mock visit signal changed projection
2026-06-21
Mock conflict kept confidence capped
2026-06-28
Player snapshots
3
Team snapshots
2
Prediction records
2
Mock accuracy
100%
What actually happened later
Placeholder outcome comparison
No real outcome exists in mock mode. Future Apollo will compare verified outcomes against archived predictions without rewriting old snapshots.
Player movement over time
2026-06-14
Mock baseline formed
Portal Pulse had limited fictional evidence and treated the player as a watch item.
Known then
Two mock sources suggested basic team interest.
Known now
The mock graph later added visit and roster-fit context.
Predicted then
Mock State 44%
Actual later
No real outcome. Mock later state moved to 58%.
2 mock sources at time · Mock replay
2026-06-21
Mock visit signal changed projection
A fictional visit-style signal increased projection movement.
Known then
Four mock sources and one visit signal were available.
Known now
A conflicting mock report later capped confidence.
Predicted then
Mock State 51%
Actual later
Projection later rose, but remained uncertain.
4 mock sources at time · Mock replay
2026-06-28
Mock conflict kept confidence capped
Oracle projection rose, but Apollo preserves the uncertainty context.
Known then
Six mock sources, roster fit, and conflict signals existed.
Known now
No confirmed real-world outcome exists in mock mode.
Predicted then
Mock State 58%
Actual later
Placeholder only. Future outcomes will be compared without rewriting old snapshots.
6 mock sources at time · Mock replay
Team ranking movement
Mock team transfer ranking moved from 18 to 12 in the placeholder data.
Ranking snapshots are preserved as historical records, not overwritten summaries.
Confidence movement
Source count rose from 4 to 6 while confidence remained medium.
Confidence at time remains attached to each snapshot.
Prediction movement and accuracy
Projection accuracy
Mock State projection at 58%
Prediction remains a projection. Apollo cannot call it correct or incorrect without a verified later outcome.
unresolvedmock-oracle-v16 sourcesProjection only
Lesson: Conflict signals should cap confidence until official confirmation or stronger independent sourcing appears.
Projection accuracy
Mock team momentum ranking rise
The fictional ranking movement aligned directionally, but source strength remained medium.
partialmock-ranking-v15 sourcesProjection only
Lesson: Momentum models should preserve source count and confidence at each snapshot.